Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.187759 0.211858 0.237317 0.266163 0.297881 0.331638 0.370224
2025-06-15 0.158052 0.191013 0.227793 0.271682 0.322423 0.379031 0.446744
2025-06-22 0.133671 0.171662 0.216134 0.271615 0.338524 0.416139 0.512477
2025-06-29 0.114908 0.155973 0.206164 0.271304 0.352812 0.450592 0.575829
2025-07-06 0.100072 0.142992 0.197576 0.270992 0.365929 0.483233 0.637638
2025-07-13 0.089404 0.133923 0.192623 0.274151 0.382699 0.520339 0.705859
2025-07-20 0.082031 0.128295 0.191328 0.281427 0.404525 0.564199 0.783893
2025-07-27 0.074108 0.120921 0.186771 0.283541 0.419050 0.598631 0.850529
2025-08-03 0.068458 0.116165 0.185271 0.289410 0.438502 0.639897 0.927256
2025-08-10 0.064067 0.112783 0.185303 0.297153 0.460556 0.685143 1.010557
2025-08-17 0.057783 0.105774 0.179306 0.295499 0.468847 0.711388 1.068386
2025-08-24 0.052463 0.099742 0.174221 0.294660 0.477938 0.738696 1.128172
2025-08-31 0.047423 0.093816 0.169040 0.293621 0.487082 0.767041 1.191428
2025-09-07 0.044416 0.091057 0.168655 0.299897 0.507349 0.812018 1.279804
2025-09-14 0.040522 0.086308 0.164599 0.299982 0.517987 0.843102 1.348921
2025-09-21 0.036980 0.081810 0.160564 0.299731 0.527897 0.873232 1.417358
2025-09-28 0.033798 0.077634 0.156715 0.299441 0.537549 0.903086 1.486059
2025-10-05 0.031503 0.074926 0.155200 0.302900 0.553223 0.942457 1.569999
2025-10-12 0.030045 0.073737 0.156296 0.310823 0.576386 0.993984 1.673679
2025-10-19 0.027943 0.070987 0.154289 0.313128 0.590227 1.031244 1.756370
2025-10-26 0.026532 0.069547 0.154604 0.319508 0.611047 1.080017 1.858020
2025-11-02 0.025463 0.068734 0.156037 0.327919 0.635551 1.135268 1.971077
2025-11-09 0.023325 0.065286 0.152058 0.326125 0.642333 1.162062 2.039900